Archive for August, 2009

Tropical Storm Danny Remains Disorganized

As of the 2:00AM EDT briefing, Tropical Storm Danny remains disorganized.  A reconnaissance plane is in the area to determine if the storm is strengthening.  A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for parts of North Carolina, and much of the east coast into the Canadian Maritimes continues to watch the progress of this storm closely.  More Watches and Warnings are currently expected for Friday.

Read the full advisory from NOAA.

Tropical Storm Danny weakening

As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Tropical Storm Danny continues to head northwest, but it is disorganized, weakening and not forecast to become a hurricane.  Danny’s maximum sustained winds are now 45 mph, which are down 15 mph from this morning. 

Coastal areas of North Carolina remain in a Tropical Storm Watch and Danny may impact the outer banks in the next 36 hours.  While Danny is weakening, it may regain strength and we recommend people continue to prepare for the storm.   

Tropical Storm Danny continues moving northwest

As of 8:00 p.m. EDT Tropical Storm Danny was moving northwest at 6 mph.  Danny’s maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph and the National Hurricane Center is forecasting some strengthening to 60 mph over the next 24 hours.  Tropical storm winds extend outward up to 205 miles from the center of the storm.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for areas of North Carolina and residents should finish their storm preparations early tomorrow as Danny may impact North Carolina late Friday evening or early Saturday morning.

Tropical Storm Watch Issued for part of North Carolina coast

At 5:00 p.m. EDT Tropical Storm Danny was moving northwest toward the North Carolina coast and a Tropical Storm Watch is now in place for the N.C. coast from Cape Lookout northward to Duck, including the Ablemarle and Pamlico Sounds. 

The issuance of a Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours in the watch area.   We urge those in the watch areas to begin preparation. 

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting that Danny may strengthen over the next 48 hours, but it is now projecting that it will not reach hurricane strength, with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, just below that of a category one hurricane. 

TS watch may be needed for East Coast later today as Danny moves slightly faster

Tropical Storm Danny has shifted to the west and is moving slightly faster.

The National Hurricane Center says in its 11 a.m. advisory that a watch might be needed later this afternoon for sections of the  East Coast from the Carolinas through New England.

The NHC says the storm is moving erratically toward Northeast at about 13 mph. It was traveling at about 10 miles early this morning. Danny is located approximately 320 miles northeast of Nassau and 550 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C. The storm is 550 miles east-northeast of Miami.

The storm has sustained winds of nearly 60 mph and slow strengthening could continue over the next few days.

For more information on tropical storm watches and warnings and what steps you should take to prepare your home and family, go to EMICUS.com’s section on  advisories, watches and warnings.


Tropical Storm Danny is poorly organized this morning

Tropical Storm Danny did not develop into a more organized system overnight.  However, most forecast models show the storm growing into Hurricane Danny within 48 hours.  The National Hurricane Center is projecting that it will be a weak category one hurricane with maximum winds projected at 75 mph.  This storm may threaten the east coast this weekend and the NHC is advising individuals from the Carolinas north to New England to monitor Tropical Storm Danny closely.

At 5:00 a.m. EDT Danny’s maximum sustained winds were 60 MPH and the storm was located near 27.4 North, 72.1 West.  It is approximately 600 miles west of Palm Beach, Florida and moving northwest at 10 mph.  

Category one hurricanes are defined on the Saffir-Simpson Scale of having winds between 74-95 mph.  If Danny develops into a category one hurricane, some damage to buildings would likely occur, but the majority of damage would be to trees and outdoor items.  Impacted areas will likely experience power outages and downed power lines and poles.  Examples of past category one hurricanes include Hurricane Cindy which made landfall in Louisiana in 2005 and Hurricane Gaston which made landfall in South Carolina in 2004.

Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory on Tropical Storm Danny, saying the area of disturbed weather east of the Bahamas has become a tropical storm.

The NHC’s 11 a.m. EDT advisory, published just a few minutes ago, advised residents in the Bahamas and southeastern U.S. to monitor the progress of the storm.

The storm is moving west-northwest with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. NHC said the storm has potential to strengthen over the next couple of days.

Track the storm at Emicus.com and review the NHC’s advisory here.

Tropical Storm Danny will likely form today

Tropical Storm Danny will likely be forming this morning in the Atlantic.  As of 8:00 a.m. EDT the disturbed weather system that is being watched by the National Hurricane Center (“NHC”) has not yet developed into a tropical depression. However, the NHC has stated that it is likely that the system will develop into a tropical storm today and advisories may be initiated later.  NOAA has sent a hurricane hunter airplane to the system to determine if it now has a center of circulation and is officially Tropical Storm Danny.

 

It should be noted that some of the forecast models have the system developing into Hurricane Danny in several days and there is a potential for this system to impact the mid-Atlantic states or perhaps even Cape Code (again).  However, there is a wide discrepancy in the forecast models and it is still too early to tell what this system could do.

 

As a reminder, we are now entering the most active part of the hurricane season, and we recommend that everyone review their old hurricane preparedness plans or make a new plan.  Please visit our preparedness section if you need some advice on preparedness.

Disturbed weather system likely to become Tropical Storm Danny

Disturbed weather system likely to become Tropical Storm Danny

Tropical Storm Danny may develop today

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting that as of 2:00 a.m. EDT a system of disturbed weather located approximately 325 north of Puerto Rico could develop into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours.  Many computer models have this developing into a tropical storm or hurricane.  Should this system develop it will be named Tropical Storm Danny and then Hurricane Danny.    This system is forecast to move near the Bahamas later today and forecasters are advising the Bahamas to monitor this system closely.   The National Hurricane Center will have a new system update at 8:00 a.m. EDT this morning.

 

Hurricane Bill fades as it moves east

Hurricane Bill, a rapidly fading memory for residents along the U.S. and Canadian eastern coasts, could provide some rainfall as it moves over the ocean near Ireland and western Scotland later today.

Bill, once a Category 4 storm, has veered eastward and weakened as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean.

Over the weekend, residents along the coast monitored the path of the storm, the first hurricane of the 2009 season in the Atlantic. Bill had brushed passed Bermuda on its initial north-northwest course before eventually taking an eastward route and heading back out to sea.

Although Bill didn’t make landfall in the U.S., its powerful winds created rough seas that were blamed in the deaths of at least two people along the East Coast. Eleven other people were taken to hospitals, mainly for broken bones.

The last reading from the National Hurricane Center early Monday showed Bill had winds of nearly 70 mph and its center was bout 190 miles off the coast of Newfoundland. Bill was moving east-northeast and continued to weaken.

For up-to-date information on active storms, use Emicus.com’s storm tracker.